Question to the HM Treasury:

To ask Her Majesty's Government what plans they have to publish any modelling from September 2020 on the economic effect of (1) introducing the COVID-19 'circuit-breaker' recommended by the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, and (2) the introduction of a lockdown to address the COVID-19 pandemic in November 2020 for England.

Throughout the pandemic, economic analysis has been a key part of the advice that ministers use to inform decisions taken in this fast-moving health environment. The Treasury continues to provide economic analysis to ministers on an ongoing basis as part of policy making and design.

The Treasury does not produce formal forecasts for the UK economy. Economic and fiscal forecasting is the responsibility of the independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) who updated their forecasts on 25 November 2020.