Office for Budget Responsibility Forecasts Debate

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Department: HM Treasury

Office for Budget Responsibility Forecasts

Sarah Dyke Excerpts
Monday 1st December 2025

(1 day, 6 hours ago)

Commons Chamber
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Sarah Dyke Portrait Sarah Dyke (Glastonbury and Somerton) (LD)
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At last year’s autumn Budget, the Chancellor claimed that 75% of farms would be unaffected by agricultural property relief and business property relief, a figure that has been widely disputed. This year there is yet more confusion over the figures, with the Chancellor implying that public finances were significantly worse than the OBR assessment suggested. After years of being ignored and taken for granted by the Conservatives, how can rural businesses have confidence in this Government’s economic strategy if key figures are inaccurate or misrepresented?

James Murray Portrait James Murray
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I have taken part in a number of debates in this Chamber and in Westminster Hall on the changes to APR and BPR that the Government introduced at the Budget last year. We have debated the figures extensively. Some of the difference in people’s figures stems from the fact that we are talking about estates, which is the right measure when we are talking about inheritance tax, rather than the value of farms themselves. I also hope that the hon. Lady will have seen the change we made to the system at this Budget through the spousal transfer.