Economic Growth Debate

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Department: HM Treasury
Tuesday 16th September 2025

(3 days, 6 hours ago)

Lords Chamber
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Lord Livermore Portrait Lord Livermore (Lab)
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I am very grateful to the noble Lord for his question and for his thoughts on growing the economy. After his success in advocating for a Brexit deal that reduced GDP by 4%, it is always very helpful to get his advice on economic growth.

The noble Lord mentioned the monthly growth figures. I do not know whether he is an avid reader of the Office for National Statistics blog posts, but he may have seen that the ONS announced this week that it will be reverting to leading with the three-monthly growth figures, which are less volatile and provide a clearer picture of underlying economic momentum. He may therefore have seen that UK GDP increased in the three months to July. In that data released, we can see that the Government’s action to turn around the legacy of underinvestment from his Government, opposed now by the party opposite, is having an effect, and construction output increased by 0.6%, driven by 2.1% growth in new infrastructure work.

The noble Lord may also have seen that exports to the US increased in July. He may have seen that the UK economy grew by 1% in the first half of this year, and that as a result, the UK is the fastest-growing economy in the G7. He may have seen Lloyds Bank’s latest business barometer, which shows that business confidence rose for the fourth consecutive month to its highest level in 10 years.

Lord Fox Portrait Lord Fox (LD)
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My Lords, 50% of the economy is small and medium-sized businesses. In its commentary on today’s rise in unemployment and fall in vacancies, the British Chambers of Commerce highlighted employment costs; in particular, it singled out the hike in employers’ national insurance. Earlier today, those noble Lords who were in Prayers prayed for the wealth and tranquillity of our nation. Rather than wait for divine intervention, can the Minister now admit that the national insurance rise was wrong, and it is contributing to neither wealth nor tranquillity in this country?

Lord Livermore Portrait Lord Livermore (Lab)
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It is a welcome return for the noble Lord and a pleasure to be asked a question by him again after a somewhat lengthy absence. The answer to his question is no. We heard from the Liberal Democrat Benches strong support for the investment we announced in the spending review. They supported— I think—every single piece of regional, transport, health, and education investment right across the board. Not a single piece of investment that we announced did they oppose, but they are now saying that they oppose the way in which we raise that money. That, I am afraid, is something we see on many Liberal Democrat leaflets across the country. It is also the route that led to the Liz Truss mini-Budget, wanting to support outcomes but not supporting the difficult measures to support those outcomes.

The noble Lord mentioned small business. We set out a very clear small business strategy to support small businesses in this country.