Baroness Gerada Portrait Baroness Gerada (CB)
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My Lords, I also welcome the amendment tabled by the noble Baroness, Lady Shawcross-Wolfson. I will speak to Amendment 253, which is in my name. Before I do, I will say that when I started in general practice in 1991, 80% of the GP workforce were men. We now have a reversal of that, so part of the issue is the feminisation of the GP workforce. Women get pregnant and care for small children and our elders. This was predictable. When I was a GP leader, I said that we needed to replace every retiring male GP with 2.4 GPs—men and women, for various reasons. Nevertheless, I digress.

I will speak on district nurses, who are our generalist practitioners in patients’ homes. I will paint a little picture. It is a wet Tuesday evening in November and somewhere in a village, town or city near any of us a district nurse is parking outside a terraced house. Inside is an elderly man with a leg ulcer that will not heal. Down the road there is a woman with diabetes who cannot manage her insulin on her own. A few streets further on a family is sitting with their mother in her final days, frightened and exhausted. The district nurse is the only one who can put up a syringe driver. This district nurse will visit them all. She will dress their wounds, check their blood, ease their pain and hold their hands. Tomorrow, she will do it again. District nurses are there every day of the year, in every corner of this country, at almost every hour of the day and night.

Successive Governments have promised to shift care out of hospitals and into the community. This Government have done the same, and I welcome that. But that shift will be extremely difficult without district nurses. They are not an optional extra; they are the linchpin. Neighbourhood health without district nurses is a building without a foundation. As the Nursing and Midwifery Council has said, district nursing is key to the achievement of the shift in healthcare that this Government seek.

I will remind your Lordships of some of the figures—we have heard a lot of figures today, so I will cut them back. According to analysis by the Nuffield Trust, in 2009 there were some 7,600 full-time equivalent district nurses in the NHS. By 2024, there were 4,322, a fall of 43%. Put simply, for every seven district nurses we had in 2009, we now have four. Over the same period, the number of adult nurses working in hospitals rose by 43%. The contrast is striking. We have said that we want care closer to home, but our workforce has continued to develop in favour of the hospital.

Some will say that this is an artefact of how we count the data because, around 2011, some community services moved to voluntary and independent providers, and some district nurses consequently stopped appearing in NHS figures. That is true, but it does not explain a decline that has continued over 15 years. The picture is even more concerning when we take population growth and ageing into account. On that basis, district nursing has fallen by 55%. The decline is continuing. The Care Quality Commission’s latest State of Care report found that the number of qualified district nurses fell by a further 5% between 2024-25 and 2025-26.

The problem is not just numbers; there is also the question of skills and experience. More than one in four of those recorded as district nurses are employed below band 6, which is the grade at which qualified district nurses would normally start. So we are losing not just numbers but the expertise on which this whole community service depends. What does this mean for patients? When district nurse teams are stretched, the first things to go are the things that matter most and are seen least: psychological support, prevention—such as looking at trip hazards and adequate lighting—and continence care. That care is now too often delivered less well, not delivered at all or pushed on to services that are already at breaking point. Investing in district nursing is not simply an investment in better care; it is an investment in preventing avoidable deterioration, unnecessary hospital attendances and expensive admissions.

The pressure is set to increase further. The Nuffield Trust estimates that the demand for district nurses could rise by 34% by 2040, based on the projected population numbers. So demand has grown but the service has contracted. This is not a failure of district nurses, who have held the line with extraordinary dedication. It is a failure of planning, as we have heard, as well as priorities and political will. That is exactly why this amendment matters. We cannot keep promising to move care into the community without first asking how many people we need to deliver it.

District nurses are indispensable. We cannot deliver neighbourhood health, safely shift care out of hospitals and provide dignified care at home without a properly trained and adequately staffed district nursing workforce. We know what happens when plans fail, and we will see the numbers of patients admitted to hospital. My question to the Minister is: will the Government commit to assessing the number of district nurses needed to meet current and projected demand, identifying the shortfall and setting out a funded plan to address it?

Baroness Barker Portrait Baroness Barker (LD)
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My Lords, I will add to what the noble Baroness, Lady Gerada, said. A very high percentage of our district nurses come from other countries. Therefore, what will the Minister do, talking to the Home Office, about the supply of district nurses that we will undoubtedly need in the future?

I will make one or two brief points, following on from what the noble Baroness, Lady Harding, said about planning. If any member of the Committee has spoken to anybody currently employed by an ICB, they will know that seared in their minds is the date on which they were told, about 18 months ago, that their jobs were going to go. For the last 18 months, they have continued to work under that threat. I do not know any other employer that would do that to a workforce and expect to retain it. I talked to members of staff who work for ICBs. I had the misfortune to ask them, “How are you?”, and 25 minutes later I knew how they were—it was not good. I rather suspect that the biggest demand for mental health services at the moment is coming from members of NHS staff, because they have been living with this uncertainty for 18 months.

I am not being flippant but, if the Minister cannot share great detail with us, can she at least tell us the Government’s working assumptions about the number of staff there will be in the future who are members of ICB staff now? I suspect that the attrition rate will be enormous, especially given the age profile of some members of ICB staff, in particular, who have built up specialist expertise over many years. Secondly, what working assumptions are the Government making about members of staff, particularly nursing staff, who will move out of the acute sector and into the community?