Question to the HM Treasury:

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, what recent assessment he has made of the potential effect of the EU withdrawal agreement on wage levels.

The Government published its long-term economic analysis of EU Exit on 28 November 2018: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/exiting-the-european-union-publications.

Tables 4.4 and 4.5 of the publication show the estimated long-term impact on real wages from changes to UK trade under different EU Exit scenarios. Changes to UK trade include different UK-EU trading relationships, and the modelled benefits of assumed new trade deals agreed between the UK and non-EU countries, assuming no other changes.