Question to the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs:

To ask the Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, whether she has made an assessment of the likely trends in food production over the coming decade.

The UK Food Security Report sets out an analysis of statistics relating to food security, providing an evidence base to inform future government policy and public understanding. It tracks trends in domestic production, import reliance, inflation, and supply chain shocks. The UK was 65% self-sufficient for all food and 77% self-sufficient for indigenous type food in 2024, continuing a broadly stable trend.

The new annual Food Security Statistics Publication will be published in the years between the UK Food Security Report, with the first one by the end of 2025.

Defra also contributes to the OECD and FAO’s forward-looking, ten-year projections for UK agricultural production, which are published annually as part of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook. The most recent Agricultural Outlook was published in July.

The projections are based on historic trends, macro factors such as population growth, and projected world prices in these commodities.