Question to the HM Treasury:

To ask Her Majesty's Government what their latest estimate is of the impact on GDP in each year between 2019 and 2033 of leaving the EU without a withdrawal agreement in place.

The Government’s analysis on the economic effects of EU exit looks at the long-term impacts. Within their statutory mandates, the Bank of England and the OBR produce short-to-medium term forecasts for the UK economy which will reflect their independent judgements regarding the impact of leaving the EU.