Asked by: Lord Taylor of Goss Moor (Liberal Democrat - Life peer)
Question to the Cabinet Office:
To ask His Majesty's Government what was the number of (1) over 65 year olds, and (2) over 80 year olds, in each year since 1945.
Answered by Baroness Neville-Rolfe - Shadow Minister (Treasury)
The information requested falls under the remit of the UK Statistics Authority.
Please see the letter attached from the National Statistician and Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority.
The Lord Taylor of Goss Moor
House of Lords
London
SW1A 0PW
28 November 2023
Dear Lord Taylor,
As National Statistician and Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority, I am responding to your Parliamentary Questions asking about the number of (1) over 65-year-olds (HL437), and (2) over 80-year-olds in each year since 1945 for both the UK as a whole and those living in Cornwall (HL438).
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) is responsible for publishing population estimates for the United Kingdom. The attached Excel file provides estimates for the United Kingdom from 1953 to 2021 and for England and Wales from 1945 to 2022. United Kingdom age group estimates are not available from before 1953. Estimates for the United Kingdom for 2022 are not yet available due to synchronisation issues caused by the latest census being held in 2021 in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland and in 2022 in Scotland.
The file also contains estimates for Cornwall from 1971 to 2022. Age group estimates prior to 1991 are not available for Cornwall as local authority reorganisation in the early 1970s prevents comparisons prior to 1971.
When accessing any of our files please read the 'notes, terms and conditions' contained within them.
Yours sincerely,
Professor Sir Ian Diamond
Asked by: Lord Taylor of Goss Moor (Liberal Democrat - Life peer)
Question to the Cabinet Office:
To ask His Majesty's Government how many babies were registered in Cornwall in each year since 1945.
Answered by Baroness Neville-Rolfe - Shadow Minister (Treasury)
The information requested falls under the remit of the UK Statistics Authority.
Please see the letter attached from the National Statistician and Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority.
Lord Taylor of Goss Moor
House of Lords
London
SW1A 0PW
27 November 2023
Dear Lord Taylor,
As National Statistician and Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority, I am responding to your Parliamentary Question asking a) how many babies were born in England each year since 1945 (HL435) and b) how many babies were registered in Cornwall in each year since 1945 (HL436).
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) publishes statistics on births registered in England. Birth statistics are based on year of registration, rather than date of birth.
Table 1 of the attached dataset provides numbers of live births registered in England from 1945 to 2022, and stillbirths registered from 1981 to 2023. Data on stillbirths registered in England prior to 1981 are not available.
Table 2 of the attached dataset provides numbers of live births and stillbirths registered in Cornwall from 1981 to 2022. Figures for Cornwall are based on the mother’s usual residence. Data on the mother’s usual residence prior to 1981 is not available.
Yours sincerely,
Professor Sir Ian Diamond
Asked by: Lord Taylor of Goss Moor (Liberal Democrat - Life peer)
Question to the Cabinet Office:
To ask His Majesty's Government how many babies were born in England each year since 1945.
Answered by Baroness Neville-Rolfe - Shadow Minister (Treasury)
The information requested falls under the remit of the UK Statistics Authority.
Please see the letter attached from the National Statistician and Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority.
Lord Taylor of Goss Moor
House of Lords
London
SW1A 0PW
27 November 2023
Dear Lord Taylor,
As National Statistician and Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority, I am responding to your Parliamentary Question asking a) how many babies were born in England each year since 1945 (HL435) and b) how many babies were registered in Cornwall in each year since 1945 (HL436).
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) publishes statistics on births registered in England. Birth statistics are based on year of registration, rather than date of birth.
Table 1 of the attached dataset provides numbers of live births registered in England from 1945 to 2022, and stillbirths registered from 1981 to 2023. Data on stillbirths registered in England prior to 1981 are not available.
Table 2 of the attached dataset provides numbers of live births and stillbirths registered in Cornwall from 1981 to 2022. Figures for Cornwall are based on the mother’s usual residence. Data on the mother’s usual residence prior to 1981 is not available.
Yours sincerely,
Professor Sir Ian Diamond
Asked by: Lord Taylor of Goss Moor (Liberal Democrat - Life peer)
Question to the Cabinet Office:
To ask His Majesty's Government what was the number of (1) over 65 year olds, and (2) over 80 year olds, living in Cornwall in each year since 1945.
Answered by Baroness Neville-Rolfe - Shadow Minister (Treasury)
The information requested falls under the remit of the UK Statistics Authority.
Please see the letter attached from the National Statistician and Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority.
The Lord Taylor of Goss Moor
House of Lords
London
SW1A 0PW
28 November 2023
Dear Lord Taylor,
As National Statistician and Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority, I am responding to your Parliamentary Questions asking about the number of (1) over 65-year-olds (HL437), and (2) over 80-year-olds in each year since 1945 for both the UK as a whole and those living in Cornwall (HL438).
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) is responsible for publishing population estimates for the United Kingdom. The attached Excel file provides estimates for the United Kingdom from 1953 to 2021 and for England and Wales from 1945 to 2022. United Kingdom age group estimates are not available from before 1953. Estimates for the United Kingdom for 2022 are not yet available due to synchronisation issues caused by the latest census being held in 2021 in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland and in 2022 in Scotland.
The file also contains estimates for Cornwall from 1971 to 2022. Age group estimates prior to 1991 are not available for Cornwall as local authority reorganisation in the early 1970s prevents comparisons prior to 1971.
When accessing any of our files please read the 'notes, terms and conditions' contained within them.
Yours sincerely,
Professor Sir Ian Diamond
Asked by: Lord Taylor of Goss Moor (Liberal Democrat - Life peer)
Question to the Cabinet Office:
To ask Her Majesty's Government, further to the Written Answer by Lord True on 26 January (HL12011), what were the modelled projections, including the reasonable worst-case planning scenario estimates applied to the forecast modelling, used to inform the decision to place England under national restrictions to address the COVID-19 pandemic in November 2020.
Answered by Lord True - Shadow Leader of the House of Lords
Throughout the pandemic, the Government has used a broad range of health, social and economic evidence to inform decision making. The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergency (SAGE) is responsible for providing coordinated scientific advice to support decisions made by the Government. The SAGE subgroup, the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M), uses estimates across a range of metrics to support this advice, including short term modelling including on cases & hospitalisations. These models include a range of projections based on the observed rates of infection and hospitalisations. The assumptions underpinning these models develop as our understanding of the virus changes.
At the end of October, it was clear that rising infections had the potential to exceed NHS regular and surge capacity within weeks. Case projections showed increases in every region, and that national intervention was therefore necessary.
In December, the SAGE subgroup on New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats (NERVTAG), estimated that the B.1.1.7 variant may be up to 70% more transmissible. This informed the rapid escalation of areas and regions through the tier system in late December and a creation of Tier 4. Further analysis across a number of infection metrics, along with SPI-M modelled projections, helped inform the decision that national restrictions were again required on 5 January.
Asked by: Lord Taylor of Goss Moor (Liberal Democrat - Life peer)
Question to the Cabinet Office:
To ask Her Majesty's Government, further to the Written Answer by Lord True on 26 January (HL12011), what reasonable worst-case planning scenario estimates were applied to the forecast modelling used to inform the decision to place England under national restrictions to address the COVID-19 pandemic on 5 January, including (1) the modelled projections, and (2) the amended assumptions, based on the increased transmissibility of the B.1.1.7 variant of SARS-CoV-2.
Answered by Lord True - Shadow Leader of the House of Lords
Throughout the pandemic, the Government has used a broad range of health, social and economic evidence to inform decision making. The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergency (SAGE) is responsible for providing coordinated scientific advice to support decisions made by the Government. The SAGE subgroup, the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M), uses estimates across a range of metrics to support this advice, including short term modelling including on cases & hospitalisations. These models include a range of projections based on the observed rates of infection and hospitalisations. The assumptions underpinning these models develop as our understanding of the virus changes.
At the end of October, it was clear that rising infections had the potential to exceed NHS regular and surge capacity within weeks. Case projections showed increases in every region, and that national intervention was therefore necessary.
In December, the SAGE subgroup on New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats (NERVTAG), estimated that the B.1.1.7 variant may be up to 70% more transmissible. This informed the rapid escalation of areas and regions through the tier system in late December and a creation of Tier 4. Further analysis across a number of infection metrics, along with SPI-M modelled projections, helped inform the decision that national restrictions were again required on 5 January.
Asked by: Lord Taylor of Goss Moor (Liberal Democrat - Life peer)
Question to the Cabinet Office:
To ask Her Majesty's Government, further to the Written Answers by Lord Bethell on 6 January (HL9878, HL9881, HL9883, HL9957), what reasonable worst-case planning scenario estimates were applied to the forecast modelling used to inform the decision to place England under national restrictions in (1) March 2020, (2) November 2020 and (3) January 2021; and to what extent the new COVID-19 variant has altered the assumptions underpinning the January restrictions.
Answered by Lord True - Shadow Leader of the House of Lords
The Reasonable Worst Case Scenario is an operational contingency planning tool. The Government has used a broad range of health, social and economic evidence to inform decision making, including modelled projections. The evidence used to introduce measures on 5 January 2021 included amended assumptions based on the increased transmissibility of the B.1.1.7 variant.