Question to the Department of Health and Social Care:
To ask the Secretary of State for Health and Social Care, what projection has been made of the proportion of the UK population to be diagnosed with type 2 diabetes in each of the next 10 years.
Data on the proportion of the United Kingdom population to be diagnosed with type 2 diabetes in the next 10 years are not collected in the format requested.
Public Health England produces estimates of total (diagnosed and undiagnosed) diabetes prevalence for people aged 16 years and over in England up to 2035. The prevalence estimates do not distinguish between type 1 and type 2 diabetes. The prevalence estimates are available here:
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/diabetes-prevalence-estimates-for-local-populations
Projections have only been published in five year time intervals from 2020 onwards. The following table presents the estimated prevalence of diabetes in England from 2018 to 2030.
Year | Prevalence (%) | Number |
2018 | 8.6 | 4,089,864 |
2019 | 8.7 | 4,147,109 |
2020 | 8.7 | 4,204,334 |
2025 | 9.1 | 4,511,653 |
2030 | 9.3 | 4,800,491 |
The National Diabetes Audit (NDA) has not published information on people who developed Type 2 diabetes or other diabetes in the last 12 months. Type 2 or other diabetes includes people with Maturity-onset Diabetes of the Young, other and non-specified diabetes type.
The most recent NDA report found 194,640 people that were newly diagnosed with type 2 or other diabetes in 2015. Further information is available here: